Where does Romney go from here?

The latest polling out of Virginia, Ohio and Florida paint a troubling picture for Mr. Romney just 7 weeks from the election. Romney is down 5 in Virginia and Florida and down 7 in Ohio. Not only that, but this poll was taken before he made an ass of himself at the attack on the Libyan consulate. I’ve sensed that he was losing strength in Ohio [or at least in my neck of the woods] just last Saturday as I spent 4 hours knocking on doors. People on my walk-sheet marked ‘persuade’ turned out, in fact, to be good supporters of the President.

I might argue or ask the question: who in the hell hasn’t made up their mind by now? The choices are polar opposites; either you believe that government has an important role in your life or you don’t. So-called swing voters or independents have been paying attention, which is why they are delineated as such. One in eight Ohioans are connected to the auto industry and here in Lucas County, that ratio is much tighter. Just this week, Ford said that they will need 1200 workers for increased production at a facility 20 miles north of here. “Let Detroit go bankrupt” hammered many nails in Romney’s coffin.

Here’s an additional problem facing Mr. Romney. Everyone knows that there will be a major $$$ blitz in negative advertising during the last weeks of the race. Those super pacs will flood the airways with grainy, black-and-white photos of President Obama accompanied by scary voice-overs.  The trouble is, Ohioans are already filled to the gills with that type of advertising; we’ve seen it for months now. It may just do more harm than good for the Romney campaign. And, positive ads for the Romney/Ryan ticket have been scarce.  After all, what message do they have for Ohio voters?

The Florida spread is unusually wide; perhaps the seniors in the center and southern end of the state understand what the Romney/Ryan [or Ryan] Plan means for their trusted entitlement programs. How does Romney cauterize that gaping gash inflicted by the Ryan Budget that essentially ends these government entitlements? Maybe his choice of Ryan wasn’t so smart after all.

No doubt that the Obama Team will want to force the Romney Camp to spend precious time in Florida while they still have that 5-point advantage. While Romney spends time and resources in the Sunshine State, he will not be able to bring his message to other ‘swing’ states.  Play around with the CNN Electoral Map, clicking on gold colored states, turning them red or blue.  Watch the blue and red bars at the top. If you turn Ohio blue, President Obama is 15 points from 270. Mr. Romney is stuck at 191. If Florida turns blue, the President moves into his 2nd term. As Bill Clinton said, ‘It’s arithmetic.’

 

 

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16 thoughts on “Where does Romney go from here?

  1. Damn it, M_R! Please stop using this term “entitlement”. There is a huge
    difference in what is a natural right of citizenship and a gift. A gift, an
    entitlement, can be taken away, while a natural right can never be taken away. Both the DEMS and the GOP use “entitlements” and the next words
    out of their mouth is privatization or reduction (as in age or benefits).
    This is the insurrection that we must have! Please join the cuase, and be that
    General of the North again, lol…..

    1. The General d’ Nord is keeping the situation positive with those under my command.

      The word entitlement indicates a right given because of a promise made and/or a benefit due because of financial input. Social Security and Medicare are a paid entitlement.

  2. Hello Muddy,
    I too have sensed that Mittens is losing strength in “My Neck of Ohio” here in the Columbus neck of the woods. Those whom are usually obnoxious and boisterous promoting how they want the world to be and you should too, are uncommonly quite right now.

    I picked up a Wall Street Journal today and on the front page was an article stating the same numbers for Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. I brought it home for some bedtime reading.

    When you ask: “Who in the hell hasn’t made up their mind”…the answer is no one!! I think everyone knows who they are going to vote for….they are just not going to say because they don’t want to subject themselves to the “Right Wing Nut Job’s” contempt for supporting the President…..Bottom line, they are going to vote for the President.

    Right now the timing, effort and additional concentration needs to be added to gaining the majority in Congress and purge the Tea Party dolts. This will continue to promote the President but also give him the majority to push through the programs and legislation that needs to get through…….like the new Supreme Court Nominations that will be coming up.

    1. I respect your judgement, Engineer and I hope that it goes the way you predict. I’ve also heard that some who ‘haven’t made up their mind’ never do and sit out Election Day.

  3. Hello Engineer, good to hear from you…You mention the Supreme Court vacancies that might come up. As I have said a couple of times, the only
    reason I can vote for Obama is the possible Court vacancies. If he does
    gain re-election I hope Ginsburg and Soutar(sp) is it, will resign early and then we hope for a Kennedy retirement. And, we hope Obama’s reasoning
    doesn’t desert him in the upcoming debtes, especially the first one.

    1. Hello Uptheflag,
      Yea have been very busy here in Columbusville….:-) Have not had much time for keeping up but I do read the blog sites everyday.

      I too hope Obama’s debates against Mitt go well as one “OPPS” moment can be a game changer with the small leads he has now.

      As we have said, this election is really about the future Supreme Court.

  4. Living in a clump of Fox News fans has been very depressing for me. Whenever I try to make a point to show how Fox outright lies, I’m told it’s just an untrue charge made by the liberal media. For the last week I have been searching the web for this video and here’s my report:

    statutory rape — n
    (in the US) the criminal offence of having sexual intercourse with a girl who has not reached the age of consent

    dis·bar–verb (used with object)
    to expel from the legal profession or from the bar of a particular court.

    Fox News’ The Five purported to fact-check President Clinton’s speech at the Democratic National Convention but instead parroted a series of claims that have been widely debunked.
    http://mediamatters.org/research/2012/09/07/the-fives-idea-of-a-fact-check-is-a-rehash-of-d/189781

    Besides most of the false information, they have the gall to accuse Clinton of sex with an “underage intern”. She actually turned 18 when old Bush was President and was 22 while a Whitehouse intern. And Clinton was never disbarred, just was not able to practice law in Arkansas for five years. He also resigned his ability to argue in front of the U.S. Supreme Court. Never had sex with a minor or was disbarred. How does Fox get away with stuff like this?

  5. MORE POISON FROM THE FRINGE:

    The following email is from my sister (the retired teacher enjoying the benefits of her union and Ohio Democrat legislatures).

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    Gee, wonder why 60 Minutes hasn’t done a segment on this?
    Subject: How the Obama’s lost their law licenses

    I knew they had both lost their law license, but I didn’t know why until I read this.
    This is legit. I check it out at https://www.iardc.org/ .Stands for Illinois Attorney Registration And Disciplinary Committee. It’s the official arm of lawyer discipline in Illinois; and they are very strict and mean as hell (talk about irony). Even I, at the advanced age of almost 65, maintain (at the cost of approximately $600/year) my law license that I worked so hard and long to earn.
    Big surprise.

    Former Constitutional Law Lecturer and U.S. President Makes Up Constitutional Quotes During State Of The Union (SOTU) Address.

    Consider this:

    1. President Barack Obama, former editor of the Harvard Law Review, is no longer a “lawyer”. He surrendered his license back in 2008 in order to escape charges he lied on his bar application.

    A “Voluntary Surrender” is not something where you decide “Gee, a license is not really something I need anymore, is it?” and forget to renew your license. No, a “Voluntary Surrender” is something you do when you’ve been accused of something, and you ‘voluntarily surrender” your license five seconds before the state suspends you.

    2 Michelle Obama “voluntarily surrendered” her law license in 1993. after a Federal Judge gave her the choice between surrendering her license or standing trial for Insurance fraud!

    3. So, we have the first black President and First Lady – who don’t actually have licenses to practice law. Facts.
    Source: http://jdlong.wordpress.com/2009/05/15/pres-barack-obama-editor-of-the-Harvard-law-review-has-no-law-license/

    4. A senior lecturer is one thing, a fully ranked law professor is another. Barack Obama was NOT a Constitutional Law Professor at the University of Chicago.

    5. The University of Chicago released a statement in March 2008 saying Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) “served as a professor” in the law school – but that is a title. Obama, who taught courses there part-time, never held, a spokesman for the school confirmed in 2008.

    6. “He did not hold the title of Professor of Law,” said Marsha Ferziger Nagorsky, an Assistant Dean for Communications and Lecturer in Law at the University of Chicago School of Law.

    Source:http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2008/03/sweet_obama_did_hold_the_title.html ;

    7. The former Constitutional Senior Lecturer (Obama) cited the U.S. Constitution the other night during his State of the Union Address. Unfortunately, the quote he cited was from the Declaration of Independence … not the Constitution.

    8. The B-Cast posted the video: http://www.breitbart.tv/did-obama-confuse-the-constitution-with-the-declaration-of-independence/

    9. Free Republic: In the State of the Union Address, President Obama said: “We find unity in our incredible diversity, drawing on the promise enshrined in our Constitution: the notion that we are all created equal.

    10. Um, wrong citing, wrong founding document there Champ, I mean Mr. President. By the way, the promises are not a notion, our founders named them inalienable rights. The document is our Declaration of Independence and it reads:

    “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness”.

    11. And this is the same guy who lectured the Supreme Court moments later in the same speech?

    When you are a phony it’s hard to keep facts straight.

    Keep this moving — educate others. It is important to forward to your entire address book………do it now

    “No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms.” Thomas Jefferson
    ========================================
    ========================================

    The ONLY “partial” fact is the President attributing something to the wrong document, depending how you interpret the quote. Also note the sources that are referenced. This is the same sister who always says “I don’t want to talk politics” when ever I bring up another fringe lie.

  6. Mr. Mud, the proverbial S*** has hit the fan after posting the sources I posted here and sendng “reply-all” to the letter from my sister. I’ve finally had enough and signed up to join the volunteers that actually give a fig about this Country. It would mean a lot to me if you could find the time to meet me at the Grand Opening of the Maumee office. I’ll be the largest person in the room. You have my email address so you can check me out. Thanks.

  7. Hello NON,
    I am wishing you good luck on your decision and hope you and Muddy get together.

    I was with my cousin and her 44 year old daughter and her husband here in Columbus yesterday morning. The daughter and husband brought up that they were voting for the President. The husband was much like myself; a Moderate Republican who’s Republican Party left him. He cannot support how far extremely to the Right the Tea Party / Religious Conservatives have taken the Party.

    Let me paint this picture for you, registered Republicans who had Democratic President Obama signs in their front yard…..and PROUD OF IT!!

    My 70 year old cousin, like the majority of my sir name relatives, is a registered Republican. Does not want to vote for the President but just CANNOT vote for Mittens. She just does not like him nor trust him at all. She conceded that she probably just will not vote this year.

    1. You just discribed me. Only difference is where live putting up an Obama sign will just bring trouble. Sounds like just the place an Obama sign is needed and I’ll get several so when they’re stolen, I can just put up another.

      1. What might be more worthwhile [than a sign] is to get involved in the movement by making calls and/or walking door-to-door.

        My friend UptheFlag, in the deep red state of Mississippi can go down to the Obama Headquarters in Jackson [733 N. State St.] and spend a few hours calling voters here in Ohio.

        Next weekend, a group of Obama volunteers will be driving from Ft. Wayne, Indiana to Toledo to walk door-to-door. They are useless in the scarlet state of Indiana and wish to contribute to the victory for the President.

        Next month droves of people living in non-competitive states will be arriving in Ohio to take up the torch for the President.

        Mr. Flag: we have a spare bedroom that is free Nov. 3-6.

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